Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
9º
25
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
FLI
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 4
NEW
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FLI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 1
HAV
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 3
NEW
39%
24%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |