US Fleury-Merogis vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
37
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
FLE
21%
25%
55%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
REI
2 - 0
FLE
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 1
FLE
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 1
OLY
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
3 - 2
ASB
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPI
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RED
4 - 2
SPI
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 2
VIL
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SPI
0 - 0
ORL
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |