Flavia vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
ACF
3 - 0
FLA
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
FLA
1 - 0
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
VIV
2 - 0
FLA
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
FLA
2 - 2
CHO
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ZEL
4 - 1
FLA
83%
10%
7%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
ARO
0 - 2
LEM
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
LUG
2 - 0
ARO
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ARO
0 - 0
ORD
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
MAR
2 - 0
ARO
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARO
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |