Flamurtari Vlorë vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
13º
3º
37
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
VLZ
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 3
FLA
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
KOR
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
LUZ
52%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
LUZ
52%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
BES
1 - 1
KOR
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
APO
30%
27%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
BES
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BES
0 - 0
TOM
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BES
3 - 2
BYL
20%
26%
55%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |