Flaminia vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
11º
5º
37
6º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
83.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 0
FLA
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
FLA
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATT
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
ORV
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MPO
1 - 2
GAV
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 0
MPO
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MPO
0 - 3
USP
17%
22%
62%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 4
MPO
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MPO
1 - 1
ASD
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |