CBF Brasileiro U20 Playoffs. Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Flamengo Sub 20 vs Internacional Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
INT
1 - 1
FLA
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 0
CEA
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
BAH
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ATM
0 - 0
FLA
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
INT
1 - 1
FLA
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
INT
1 - 0
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 2
INT
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
INT
1 - 0
VAS
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |