Copa Do Brasil U20 . Semi-finals
Global 12-6
Flamengo Sub 17 vs Palmeiras Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 1
CRU
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 0
FLA
16%
18%
66%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
6 - 0
GAM
87%
10%
4%
|
50 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 4
FLA
5%
11%
84%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 12
FLA
41%
23%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Palmeiras Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
ATH
4 - 3
PAL
30%
21%
48%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATH
49%
21%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 6
PAL
5%
10%
86%
|
48 | 8 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
PAL
10 - 0
ADC
87%
9%
4%
|
48 | 8 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
9 - 0
DPS
84%
10%
5%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |