Flamengo SP vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
SJS
6 - 0
FLA
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 4
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 4
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
FER
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 3
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |