Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SJS
2 - 2
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
FLA
7%
18%
75%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
FLA
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
8%
16%
76%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SJS
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
37%
24%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
FLA
19%
23%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +3 |