Série A round 12

Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Flamengo Vasco da Gama
76 ELO 78
-6.5% Tilt -4.6%
67º General ELO ranking 146º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
37.9%
Flamengo
25%
Draw
37.1%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.1%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+2%
+5%
Vasco da Gama

ELO progression

Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2005
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
73%
17%
10%
76 88 12 0
03 Jul. 2005
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
59%
22%
19%
77 79 2 -1
25 Jun. 2005
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 4
Brasiliense
BRA
62%
23%
15%
77 67 10 0
18 Jun. 2005
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
31%
26%
42%
77 84 7 0
12 Jun. 2005
COR
Corinthians
4 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
58%
23%
19%
78 82 4 -1

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2005
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 4
Internacional
SCI
43%
26%
31%
79 82 3 0
02 Jul. 2005
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 2
Goiás EC
GOI
41%
25%
34%
79 82 3 0
26 Jun. 2005
CRZ
Cruzeiro
3 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
58%
21%
21%
79 83 4 0
18 Jun. 2005
PAL
Palmeiras
5 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
49%
23%
28%
80 80 0 -1
12 Jun. 2005
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 2
Coritiba
COT
48%
26%
26%
80 82 2 0