Flamengo vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLA
40%
30%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAL
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
ATM
1 - 0
FLA
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1987 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
ATM
2 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |