Flamengo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 0
DEF
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
FLA
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 0
RPO
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 3
PAL
16%
20%
64%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 2
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 1
PAL
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
AME
0 - 2
PAL
13%
19%
68%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |