Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 2
VOL
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLA
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 0
FLA
7%
19%
73%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LIV
1 - 0
FLA
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
ALH
71%
17%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 5
FLU
7%
17%
76%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 0
POR
84%
13%
3%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 1
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
COR
1 - 2
FLU
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |