Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 1-1
Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
3 - 0
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 2
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 1
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 3
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |