Flamengo vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
FLA
31%
24%
45%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
FLA
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
AMF
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLA
48%
23%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 0
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
FLA
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
ENV
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |