Flamengo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLA
37%
28%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
CEA
75%
18%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
CRZ
0 - 1
FLA
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 2
FLA
22%
27%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHA
29%
30%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAL
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
VAS
3 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
COR
31%
28%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |