Copa do Brasil . Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 1
FLA
20%
23%
58%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLA
22%
24%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 0
CUI
84%
12%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 1
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
20%
22%
58%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
ATP
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLA
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATP
21%
28%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 2
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |