Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 1
FLA
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 4
FPI
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
TIR
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
4DE
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
4DE
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
ABC
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
4DE
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 0
JCA
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |