Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
47%
26%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 1
FLA
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 3
FLA
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 2
PIA
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
4DE
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 2
4DE
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 2
ALT
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
4DE
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |