Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2005 |
FLA
2 - 5
CAC
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 0
FLA
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CAI
3 - 1
FLA
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
VAS
5 - 0
FLA
85%
11%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
10%
18%
72%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
4DE
1 - 1
RIV
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
PIA
2 - 0
4DE
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
4DE
0 - 0
CAC
42%
23%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
CEA
3 - 2
4DE
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
4DE
0 - 0
CEA
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |