Flambeau de l'Est vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BUJ
0 - 1
FLA
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
INT
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
NYA
1 - 3
FLA
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NGO
3 - 0
MUZ
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
INT
2 - 1
NGO
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NGO
0 - 3
ATH
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
NGO
55%
23%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ANM
0 - 0
NGO
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |