FSC Mariupol vs Minai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
8º
6º
27
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 14 |
4º
|
67% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 13 |
5º
|
67% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 4 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NYV
2 - 3
FYM
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FYM
0 - 2
POK
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PRY
0 - 0
FYM
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
KRE
3 - 0
FYM
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FYM
1 - 2
POL
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Minai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 1
MYK
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KRE
1 - 0
MIN
11%
22%
67%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 1
MEZ
69%
21%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FCD
1 - 2
MIN
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
BUK
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |