Ustrem Donchevo vs Botev Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
14º
12º
12
11º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
5 - 2
UST
62%
18%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UST
1 - 3
DOR
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 2
UST
7%
13%
80%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UST
0 - 3
SVE
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
6 - 2
UST
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SVE
1 - 0
BOT
79%
13%
7%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 3
SPO
7%
17%
76%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 4
LUD
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEP
6 - 0
BOT
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |