FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
11º
8º
30
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
TUK
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 3
TUK
37%
20%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TUK
3 - 1
PRA
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SKA
3 - 0
TUK
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 1
TUK
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 0
VAL
8%
15%
78%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 1
KFV
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 2
GRO
5%
11%
84%
|
21 | 61 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 1
KFV
91%
6%
3%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 0
RIG
10%
17%
73%
|
20 | 67 | 47 | +1 |