UEFA Intertoto Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Teplice vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Teplice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
TEP
1 - 0
SKK
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BOH
0 - 2
TEP
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
TEP
1 - 2
MBO
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ESK
1 - 0
TEP
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
TEP
3 - 1
SLP
39%
27%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
BUD
4 - 2
ZHE
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ZHE
1 - 2
BUD
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
DVS
2 - 1
BUD
64%
19%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BUD
4 - 1
TAT
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
BUD
0 - 7
DVS
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -2 |