Smolensk vs Murom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
49.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FKL
4 - 0
FSM
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
DIN
4 - 1
FSM
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
FKL
4 - 0
FSM
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
FSM
1 - 4
TOR
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FKR
0 - 0
FSM
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Murom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
3 - 1
LUK
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
FKZ
2 - 1
MUR
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
FCC
1 - 0
MUR
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 2
TVE
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCD
3 - 1
MUR
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |