FK Tuzla City vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
11º
11º
36
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 78 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 73 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 58 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 58 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 45 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 45 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
92% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
93% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
6 - 2
SLO
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SLO
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
GOS
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
33%
27%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
TEK
0 - 1
SLO
5%
13%
83%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 1
POS
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BBL
3 - 2
ZEL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SLO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 0
ZEL
21%
27%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
ZBE
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |