FK Tuzla City vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
11º
11º
53
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
SLO
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLO
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 0
ZBE
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
POS
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 1
SLO
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 0
GOS
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 3
BBL
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
IGM
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 0
SAR
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BBL
0 - 0
SAR
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |