Macedonia Second Division Round 5

FK Skopje vs FK Pobeda analysis

FK Skopje FK Pobeda
44 ELO 35
-19% Tilt -12%
6089º General ELO ranking 8945º
23º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
68%
FK Skopje
19%
Draw
13%
FK Pobeda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
FK Skopje
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13%
Win probability
FK Pobeda
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Skopje
-20%
-20%
FK Pobeda

Points and table prediction

FK Skopje
Their league position
FK Pobeda
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
1
14º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bregalnica Štip
10
66
59.5%
Belasica
10
61
29.5%
Detonit Plachkovica
6
54
20.5%
Kozuv Gevgelija
10
52
15%
FK Skopje
7
49
12%
Sasa
10º
5
47
12%
Novaci
6
47
7%
Teteks
6
47
7.5%
FK Ohrid
7
46
14%
Sloga Vinica
12º
3
38
10º
10%
Osogovo
11º
4
37
11º
10.5%
Vardar Negotino
14º
3
36
12º
11%
Shkendija Haracine
10
33
13º
25.5%
FK Pobeda
15º
1
27
14º
34.5%
Prespa
13º
3
19
15º
43.5%
Golemo Konjari
16º
0
13
16º
67%
Expected probabilities
FK Skopje
FK Pobeda
Promotion
3.5% 0%
Promotion play-offs
10% 0%
Mid-table
81% 22.5%
Relegation
5.5% 77.5%

ELO progression

FK Skopje
FK Pobeda
Detonit Plachkovica
Kozuv Gevgelija
Vardar Negotino
Golemo Konjari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Skopje
FK Skopje
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2025
OSO
Osogovo
2 - 3
FK Skopje
FKS
33%
27%
41%
44 38 6 0
10 Sep. 2025
FKS
FK Skopje
0 - 1
Tikvesh
TIK
14%
21%
65%
44 60 16 0
06 Sep. 2025
FKS
FK Skopje
2 - 2
Shkendija Haracine
SHH
74%
16%
10%
44 23 21 0
31 Aug. 2025
BEL
Belasica
3 - 2
FK Skopje
FKS
50%
25%
25%
45 46 1 -1
23 Aug. 2025
FKS
FK Skopje
1 - 0
Sloga Vinica
FKS
53%
25%
23%
44 40 4 +1

Matches

FK Pobeda
FK Pobeda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2025
POB
FK Pobeda
2 - 3
FK Ohrid
OHR
31%
25%
44%
31 40 9 0
09 Sep. 2025
POB
FK Pobeda
0 - 4
Bashkimi
BAS
13%
19%
68%
32 58 26 -1
06 Sep. 2025
PRR
Prespa
5 - 0
FK Pobeda
POB
9%
15%
76%
36 9 27 -4
30 Aug. 2025
POB
FK Pobeda
2 - 2
Sasa
SAS
33%
24%
43%
35 41 6 +1
23 Aug. 2025
NOV
Novaci
2 - 0
FK Pobeda
POB
54%
22%
24%
36 39 3 -1