Qualif. Champions Final Play-off. Final
Global 5-2
FK Rostov vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCR
3 - 0
TOM
60%
24%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ZEN
3 - 2
FCR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FCR
0 - 0
URA
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
AND
0 - 2
FCR
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
RJC
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
AJA
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PAO
1 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
46%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |