Riltzi vs Kubrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+297%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
8º
3
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 0
FKR
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FKR
2 - 1
DOR
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UST
2 - 2
FKR
17%
19%
64%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FKR
3 - 1
LOR
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 0
FKR
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kubrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KUB
0 - 3
BIS
51%
22%
27%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
KUB
0 - 3
CHE
5%
14%
82%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SVE
3 - 0
KUB
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
KUB
0 - 3
SEP
7%
17%
76%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SVA
3 - 0
KUB
90%
8%
2%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | 0 |