Prespa vs FK Pobeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
16º
16º
0
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
1 | 63 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 60 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 52 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 48 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 48 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 47 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 45 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 43 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 43 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 36 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 26 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 13 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 45.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prespa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
PRR
0 - 3
SHH
10%
15%
74%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GOK
2 - 2
PRR
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
NOV
2 - 0
POB
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
DEP
2 - 2
POB
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
POB
1 - 2
KGE
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FKS
0 - 0
POB
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
POB
0 - 0
OSO
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |