FK Pobeda vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
12º
12º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
MAK
7 - 0
POB
75%
18%
7%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POB
0 - 4
FKS
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 0
POB
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
POB
0 - 1
RAB
24%
26%
49%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 2
POB
71%
20%
9%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
TIK
4 - 0
FKS
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 4
TIK
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 3
RAB
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SHK
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |