Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Partizan Belgrade vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
PAR
6 - 2
JEU
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
JEU
2 - 1
PAR
41%
23%
37%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1963 |
ANO
1 - 3
PAR
52%
21%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 0
ANO
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 4
CSK
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
INT
0 - 0
SPA
73%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
MAN
2 - 2
INT
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 1
INT
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 2
INT
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
INT
0 - 0
VIC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |