Partizan Belgrade vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
2º
7
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
18 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 52 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 35 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 34 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 28 |
16º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
HIB
2 - 3
PAR
48%
23%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 7
PAR
24%
27%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 2
HIB
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
RAD
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
PAR
4 - 0
PFC
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 4
ZEL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
NPA
1 - 2
NOV
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 3
ČUK
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MLA
1 - 1
NOV
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 2
RAD
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |