Montenegro Second Division Round 14

Otrant Ulcinj vs Ibar Rozaje analysis

Otrant Ulcinj Ibar Rozaje
50 ELO 42
4.3% Tilt 1.4%
2192º General ELO ranking 5262º
10º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Otrant Ulcinj
20.1%
Draw
15.6%
Ibar Rozaje

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
Otrant Ulcinj
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.6%
Win probability
Ibar Rozaje
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Otrant Ulcinj
-22%
-41%
Ibar Rozaje

ELO progression

Otrant Ulcinj
Ibar Rozaje
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Otrant Ulcinj
Otrant Ulcinj
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2009
GUS
Gusinje
1 - 1
Otrant Ulcinj
OUL
30%
25%
45%
50 40 10 0
01 Nov. 2009
BAR
OFK Bar
0 - 0
Otrant Ulcinj
OUL
63%
21%
15%
49 60 11 +1
25 Oct. 2009
MLA
Titograd Podgorica
5 - 2
Otrant Ulcinj
OUL
69%
19%
12%
50 62 12 -1
18 Oct. 2009
OUL
Otrant Ulcinj
0 - 1
Zabjelo
ZAB
53%
23%
24%
50 50 0 0
11 Oct. 2009
CRV
Crvena Stijena
1 - 1
Otrant Ulcinj
OUL
26%
26%
48%
51 43 8 -1

Matches

Ibar Rozaje
Ibar Rozaje
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2009
IBA
Ibar Rozaje
0 - 2
Titograd Podgorica
MLA
18%
24%
58%
43 63 20 0
01 Nov. 2009
ZAB
Zabjelo
3 - 0
Ibar Rozaje
IBA
56%
24%
20%
44 50 6 -1
25 Oct. 2009
CRV
Crvena Stijena
2 - 0
Ibar Rozaje
IBA
33%
28%
39%
46 42 4 -2
18 Oct. 2009
IBA
Ibar Rozaje
3 - 2
Jezero
JEZ
33%
27%
40%
44 52 8 +2
11 Oct. 2009
BRA
Bratstvo
2 - 0
Ibar Rozaje
IBA
60%
22%
17%
45 52 7 -1