Otrant Ulcinj vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
OUL
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OUL
3 - 2
ZAB
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CRV
0 - 1
OUL
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
OUL
0 - 1
BRA
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MLA
4 - 0
OUL
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
FKA
1 - 1
BOK
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FKA
0 - 1
MOR
30%
28%
42%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ZAB
1 - 0
FKA
66%
21%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FKA
0 - 0
CRV
32%
29%
39%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 1
FKA
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |