Neftçi vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
39
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
SUM
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 0
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
ZIR
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SFK
0 - 2
TUR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
FCK
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
TUR
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 1
TUR
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |