Neftçi vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
39
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
FKN
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
ZIR
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
ZIR
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
3 - 1
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
FCK
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
TUR
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 0
TUR
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |