Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FKQ
1 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FKN
2 - 3
SUM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
SFK
0 - 2
FKN
22%
29%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SEB
2 - 2
FKN
27%
30%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FKN
4 - 2
ZIR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
QAR
4 - 0
SEB
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
QAR
2 - 1
FKQ
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ZIR
0 - 3
QAR
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
FKQ
1 - 0
QAR
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
QAR
3 - 0
SHA
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |