Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 2-5
Neftçi vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FKN
0 - 1
OLP
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
OLP
1 - 0
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
FKN
2 - 1
DTB
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
DTB
1 - 2
FKN
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
FKN
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
0 - 0
SEI
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 2
MFF
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 1
HJK
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
OUL
2 - 1
HJK
12%
22%
65%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |