FK Mugan vs Bakili analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Mugan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 0
MUG
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MUG
2 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
SUS
1 - 1
MUG
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MUG
3 - 2
GEY
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAH
2 - 1
MUG
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bakili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAK
0 - 1
MOI
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GEY
0 - 2
BAK
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAK
0 - 1
FKQ
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
BAK
0 - 0
FKN
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 0
BAK
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |