Lyubertsy vs Vityaz Noginsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyubertsy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAT
1 - 1
FKL
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FKL
2 - 1
FMK
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MSZ
2 - 2
FKL
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKL
5 - 2
PER
4%
8%
88%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +6 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KPP
5 - 0
FKL
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Vityaz Noginsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BVN
4 - 4
DOL
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MSS
3 - 2
BVN
10%
14%
77%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BVN
0 - 2
FKZ
7%
16%
77%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FPT
2 - 3
BVN
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BVN
3 - 2
FLI
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |