Lyubertsy vs Saturn II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
11º
10º
7
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
6º
|
56.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
97.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
92% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyubertsy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FPT
3 - 0
FKL
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKL
5 - 3
FMK
22%
20%
59%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKL
0 - 2
FKZ
7%
16%
78%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FPT
3 - 0
FKL
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKL
3 - 3
BVN
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAT
2 - 0
BVN
37%
21%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 2
SAT
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MSZ
2 - 1
SAT
33%
21%
46%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAT
4 - 2
PER
4%
8%
88%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +4 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KPP
2 - 0
SAT
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |