FK Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Metallurg Bekabad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
19.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
11º
9º
4
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 23 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 21 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 20 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 19 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 18 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 17 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 16 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 16 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 16 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 13 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 11 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 11 |
14º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 61% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
PKU
0 - 3
FKL
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 1
FKT
22%
22%
56%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 1
PET
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 0
FKL
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PFK
1 - 3
FKL
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 20 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GAZ
3 - 0
MET
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
MET
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
MET
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
MET
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
FKO
35%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |