FK Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Dinamo Samarqand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
3º
1º
41
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
XOR
1 - 2
FKL
20%
25%
56%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
ORO
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 4
FKL
10%
20%
70%
|
66 | 18 | 48 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
UFA
1 - 1
FKL
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FKL
2 - 1
FCS
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
PFK
0 - 3
DSA
6%
15%
79%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
DSA
1 - 0
URF
88%
10%
3%
|
56 | 14 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 3
DSA
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DSA
2 - 0
QOQ
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
TER
1 - 4
DSA
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |