FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
10º
6º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 1
LIE
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 6
VAL
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
FSM
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |