FK Liepāja vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 2
LIE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FKJ
1 - 0
LIE
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKS
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCD
3 - 1
LIE
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
FSM
0 - 2
LIE
17%
24%
58%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
4 - 1
FSM
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
FKD
4 - 2
BFC
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 1
BFC
39%
25%
35%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 1
VEN
17%
24%
60%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 2
FCD
22%
25%
54%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |