A PFG Relegation Group Round 3

Levski Krumovgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis

Levski Krumovgrad Lokomotiv Plovdiv
64 ELO 67
-3.7% Tilt -15.5%
2474º General ELO ranking 1960º
18º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Levski Krumovgrad
27%
Draw
32.2%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
Levski Krumovgrad
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.2%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Levski Krumovgrad
-21%
+11%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Points and table prediction

Levski Krumovgrad
Their league position
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lokomotiv Sofia
47
17
100%
Botev Vratsa
36
15
100%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
47
13
100%
Septemvri Sofia
45
12
100%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
38
10
100%
Slavia Sofia
49
7
100%
Hebar Pazardzhik
21
4
100%
Levski Krumovgrad
33
3
100%
Expected probabilities
Levski Krumovgrad
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Levski Krumovgrad
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Levski Krumovgrad
Levski Krumovgrad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2025
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
1 - 3
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
35%
28%
37%
64 57 7 0
25 Apr. 2025
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
3 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
49%
27%
25%
65 65 0 -1
18 Apr. 2025
FLK
Levski Krumovgrad
1 - 0
CSKA Sofia
CSK
22%
28%
51%
64 78 14 +1
11 Apr. 2025
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
59%
23%
18%
64 68 4 0
06 Apr. 2025
FLK
Levski Krumovgrad
1 - 0
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
55%
24%
21%
63 57 6 +1

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2025
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
38%
27%
35%
65 66 1 0
28 Apr. 2025
SEP
Septemvri Sofia
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
43%
26%
31%
66 64 2 -1
19 Apr. 2025
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 - 1
Slavia Sofia
SSO
30%
28%
43%
66 72 6 0
12 Apr. 2025
CSK
CSKA Sofia
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
64%
22%
14%
67 78 11 -1
07 Apr. 2025
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 - 2
Spartak Varna
SVA
39%
28%
33%
67 68 1 0