Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 5-2
FK Krasnodar vs Lyngby BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
KRA
2 - 0
TOS
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
FCR
1 - 2
KRA
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
KRA
2 - 0
AFI
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CSK
1 - 1
KRA
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SLP
1 - 1
KRA
47%
25%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lyngby BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ACH
4 - 1
LYN
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
LYN
2 - 1
SBR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LYN
2 - 1
SIF
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
SBR
0 - 1
LYN
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 3
LYN
28%
23%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |